Alexander Kovalenko: Moscow Will Issue Gasoline On Coupons

• 30.09.2025, 19:27

Already in the coming months.

More and more Russians are facing difficulty finding gasoline. Ukrainian drones are practicing daily strikes on Russian refineries, causing them to shut down.

What awaits Russia if fuel shortages continue into winter? The website Charter97.org talked to Ukrainian military-political observer of the group "Information Resistance" Alexander Kovalenko about it:

- A full-fledged, full-scale crisis awaits Russia. Especially since Ukraine will not somehow reduce its pressure on the Russian Federation in this matter. It is important for us to bring its condition to a critical level, as this is the only instrument of pressure.

The following point should be understood: fuel is a benchmark. Now I will tell you by the example of Belgorod, where a power plant that supplied virtually the entire city was hit. Belgorod was without power supply. And there is an interesting nuance here. When you are without power supply, what do you do? You start generators.

But to start generators, you need scarce fuel. So Ukraine is consistently working to force Russia to stop hitting the Ukrainian energy system. And this is a very important tool that we can use, because Ukraine has long been adapted to threats regarding strikes on the energy sector.

I emphasize that our energy sector has been adapted to these kinds of terrorist attacks since 2022. We see that if in 2022 Ukrainian cities were plunged into blackouts, sometimes even for a week, two weeks, then in 2023 similar strikes on the Ukrainian energy sector caused power outages for a maximum of 24 hours. Adaptation has taken place.

But Russia will not have this adaptation for one simple reason.

- What?

- Its entire energy infrastructure, including in the supply of energy resources, not only electricity, but also the same gas, heat and so on, has gone into a state of man-made collapse even before 2022. Due to sanctions, lack of timely repairs and qualified maintenance of networks.

Even before 2022, we have repeatedly seen such technogenic disasters, explosions on the GTS pipelines, pipeline ruptures and so on. Nothing has changed. It only worsens every year more and more.

If Ukraine starts to externally affect all these systems and communications, Russia may this year plunge into what it has been threatening Ukraine with since 2009 - "cholodomor". In 2009 there appeared such a term, which Russia began to threaten every year, when the heating season started in Ukraine - "cholodomor".

First at the informational level, then at the political level. And since 2022, every time when strikes on our energy sector began, we were threatened that we would freeze in winter, that we would be plunged into some kind of ice age. So Ukraine has never plunged into an ice age.

Russia, because of its real problems with infrastructure, may plunge into a real "cold snap" just this year. If that's what they want, well, the challenge is accepted, as they say.

- It became known that the Belarusian regime resumed gasoline supplies to Russia against the background of high demand and refinery shutdowns. What is fraught with such assistance for Lukashenko?

- Nothing so far. At this level, he is just making money on it. That is, drones will not fly to Mozyr refinery for the time being.

Lukashenko is trying to act as cautiously as possible, to sell fuel to Russia at inflated prices, making a profit from it.

Okay, let him do it, but only Mozyr refinery, even with all the resources of Belarus, cannot fully provide Moscow region with its real needs. Although now the main resource of oil products flows to Moscow and Moscow region, while the other regions are suffering.

They are trying to do everything to make Moscow not feel the shortage of gasoline. But everything is going to the point that within the next two months even Moscow will be immersed in this feeling of shortage and issuance of gasoline on coupons.