"Lukashenko's Pain Points Are Being Pressured."

• 9.10.2025, 13:53

Ukraine has no illusions about the dictator.

Lukashenko is actively supplying gasoline to Russia, taking advantage of the fuel crisis caused by Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries. Will Kiev respond? This is what Charter97.org asked a well-known Ukrainian political scientist, head of the Center for Applied Political Research "Penta" Vladimir Fesenko:

- With Lukashenko the situation is more complicated, more contradictory. It is clear that in this case he shows how favorable and important he is for Russia. That it is necessary to negotiate with him. We can be sure that he will try to get a lot more out of Putin in exchange for this help. This is not charity. It is also an element of political game on the part of Lukashenko.

What concerns Ukraine, our interest is that Belarus does not enter the war against us. Accordingly, Ukraine does not strike at the territory of Belarus. But we treat Lukashenko's actions in a natural way: he is an ally of Putin. He bears his own responsibility for this war.

Ukraine can strike at logistics. Including the logistics of oil product supplies. There have already been such strikes on the Druzhba oil pipeline. Something similar may happen in the future.

So our attitude to Lukashenko's actions is, of course, negative, and we have long known about his duplicity.

The Americans now have the illusion that Lukashenko can be used in communication with Putin to end the war in Ukraine. I think this is clearly an inadequate and inflated expectation. In Ukraine there are no such illusions towards Lukashenko for a long time.

If Lukashenko is used, they press on various pain points, warning that the attempt to drag Belarus into the war against Ukraine will end very badly, first of all, for Lukashenko himself. And he realizes that.