Occupants Have Convulsions In Crimea

• ALEXANDER KOVALENKO
• 24.01.2023, 8:00

The Russians are preparing for defence.

The occupiers have introspections in Crimea... Well, or convulsions.

First of all, they are deploying more military equipment, especially near the administrative border with the mainland of Ukraine, as well as taking a large amount of old, Soviet equipment from storage.

In particular, the Russians continue to remove T-62 tanks, D-30 howitzers and S-60 guns from storage at the 943 Mobilization Deployment Support Center (Novoozerne).

In general, the Russian occupation forces are now removing a large number of the D-30 howitzers from the storage, since it is the most numerous kind of howitzer in storage. But there is a nuance. Where are the projectiles for it?

As for tanks, the T-62 is currently the only tank that does not require significant man-hours for its restoration after removing from long-term storage. That is why the Russian occupation forces can form companies and battalions of these anachronisms rapidly.

Also, a large accumulation of military equipment was noticed near the village of Stepove. Particular attention is drawn to the presence of the Iskander short-range ballistic missile system division, as well as the construction of additional fortifications.

Obviously, this group of occupation units is intended for rear control of the E-105 highway.

The main role in controlling the route is assigned to the grouping in the Medvedivka area, where five enemy armoured personnel carriers are deployed under the cover of short and medium-range air defence systems.

In general, 15-20 BTGr/TGr are now concentrated in the Medvedivka-Dzhankoy-Armyansk triangle.

But, this mass by its movements rather accumulates a resource for defence than creates a potential for supporting the southern grouping within the framework of a certain offensive. In other words, all these thoughts are caused by the preparation of the occupiers for the defence HERE (temporarily occupied territories) in Crimea, and not for a large-scale breakthrough in Zaporizhzhia.

On the other hand, they continue to use the occupied territory of Crimea as a transit logistics hub to send support to the southern bridgehead, but with the intensification of hostilities, it is unlikely that the logistics artery through the Crimean bridge will be able to provide full-fledged support for the Russian occupying forces in the south.

Obviously, in order to conduct active hostilities, when advancing along a wide southern front, the Russian occupation forces do not have enough forces and means, and those that are concentrated there have a depletion period of up to two weeks, after which ... After which the gates to HERE in Crimea will be opened.

Will they launch an offensive?

Alexander Kovalenko, Facebook